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Election
50.25%
2002
73.44%
Probability %
Average return %
+2.42%
+0.30%
-1.27%
+1.19%
+3.63%
+2.15%
+2.06%
+0.51%
-1.41%
+0.88%
+4.65%
+0.16%
2026
+4.48%
+0.03%
-5.15%
+15.84%
+10.01%
+4.87%
-7.89%
+2.08%
+0.31%
--
2025
+2.47%
-1.97%
-5.12%
-5.62%
+10.76%
+6.20%
+1.25%
+1.92%
+4.71%
+4.07%
-0.66%
+0.28%
2024
+2.20%
+7.42%
+3.48%
-5.00%
+6.80%
+4.16%
-0.04%
+0.24%
+0.73%
-1.70%
+3.04%
-3.19%
2023
+8.71%
-1.28%
-0.89%
+4.79%
+6.00%
+4.31%
-2.48%
-5.35%
-3.58%
+10.92%
+7.02%
2022
-6.60%
-2.03%
+2.46%
-10.43%
+1.52%
-11.16%
+10.81%
-5.67%
-9.89%
+7.25%
+8.70%
-6.77%
2021
+1.09%
+4.24%
+3.16%
+2.83%
+1.49%
+1.97%
+0.44%
-4.09%
+4.93%
+1.07%
+3.28%
2020
-1.31%
-6.69%
-13.51%
+10.70%
+4.62%
+2.91%
+5.50%
+6.06%
-2.82%
-1.34%
+13.27%
+4.55%
2019
+7.44%
+2.97%
+0.61%
+4.51%
-7.64%
+6.65%
+1.35%
-2.25%
+2.13%
+2.50%
+3.01%
+3.38%
2018
+4.20%
-2.58%
-1.94%
-0.72%
+3.17%
-0.53%
+2.82%
+2.66%
-0.50%
-6.55%
-7.53%
2017
+1.53%
+2.92%
-0.29%
+0.69%
+0.78%
+0.39%
+2.02%
+0.09%
+2.36%
+2.30%
+1.17%
+0.38%
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