Thompson LargeCap - Seasonality

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Thompson LargeCap - Seasonality

Seasonality Charts

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Correlation

Election

94.12%

2020

96.16%

Year	Jan	Feb	Mar	Apr	May	Jun	Jul	Aug	Sep	Oct	Nov	Dec
Probability %	70%	50%	60%	60%	70%	70%	90%	60%	56%	56%	89%	56%
Average return %	+3.18%	-0.17%	-2.15%	+1.23%	+2.02%	+1.37%	+3.12%	+0.54%	-1.14%	+0.62%	+6.02%	-3.49%
2026	+1.65%	+2.11%	-5.43%	+10.45%	+3.17%	-1.86%	+2.43%	+3.73%	-1.96%	--	--	--
2025	+4.88%	-1.95%	-4.44%	-9.94%	+13.84%	+5.96%	+1.30%	+3.94%	+4.57%	+1.61%	+3.21%	-2.32%
2024	-0.75%	+2.94%	+4.74%	-4.94%	+3.23%	+0.87%	+3.90%	+1.90%	+2.17%	-1.04%	+7.43%	-14.26%
2023	+10.29%	-2.47%	+1.20%	-0.13%	-1.53%	+7.15%	+4.42%	-5.05%	-5.23%	-4.81%	+10.39%	-0.72%
2022	-1.03%	-2.56%	+0.59%	-9.20%	+2.23%	-10.36%	+8.69%	-4.08%	-10.00%	+9.31%	+7.38%	-9.79%
2021	+2.34%	+7.90%	+4.49%	+2.91%	+2.69%	-0.40%	-0.03%	+3.24%	-5.49%	+4.86%	-2.40%	+0.56%
2020	-3.82%	-9.50%	-19.47%	+15.78%	+4.62%	+2.81%	+4.16%	+5.50%	-3.12%	+1.26%	+17.43%	+3.55%
2019	+11.56%	+3.25%	+0.24%	+5.62%	-8.72%	+7.32%	+1.58%	-5.01%	+2.88%	+3.19%	+4.83%	+1.35%
2018	+5.01%	-4.69%	-3.73%	+1.20%	+1.16%	+0.47%	+3.77%	+2.40%	+0.20%	-8.05%	+1.78%	-11.98%
2017	+1.68%	+3.24%	+0.28%	+0.58%	-0.46%	+1.74%	+0.99%	-1.19%	+3.75%	-0.72%	+4.15%	+2.17%

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