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Election
68.70%
2008
78.09%
Probability %
Average return %
+1.94%
+0.36%
-2.14%
+1.36%
+2.66%
+2.63%
+2.67%
+0.92%
-1.11%
+0.15%
+4.11%
-3.01%
2026
-0.65%
-1.32%
-5.95%
+7.10%
+4.44%
+5.84%
-4.32%
+2.68%
-5.89%
--
2025
+6.68%
-3.22%
-6.59%
-2.77%
+11.66%
+3.89%
+1.34%
+1.04%
+2.74%
-0.44%
-3.68%
-11.53%
2024
+0.19%
+7.12%
+2.30%
-6.21%
+0.95%
+2.25%
+2.42%
+1.24%
-1.69%
+7.72%
-13.33%
2023
+6.37%
-0.58%
+1.54%
-1.95%
+1.92%
+7.02%
-2.64%
-3.87%
-3.46%
+9.88%
+2.60%
2022
-10.79%
-1.37%
+2.64%
-8.61%
-2.74%
-6.94%
+10.02%
-2.05%
-7.49%
+6.00%
+5.22%
-6.56%
2021
-2.34%
+3.18%
-0.91%
+6.16%
-1.25%
+4.37%
+2.28%
+3.28%
-4.41%
+5.72%
-3.53%
+3.02%
2020
+2.32%
-6.80%
-15.35%
+13.31%
+10.88%
+1.90%
+7.00%
+1.58%
+0.50%
+11.69%
+6.20%
2019
+9.93%
+5.64%
+0.34%
+5.32%
-3.64%
+6.76%
+2.80%
-1.34%
-0.94%
+2.00%
+4.84%
+1.09%
2018
+5.65%
-3.34%
+0.48%
-0.37%
+2.55%
+0.73%
+2.26%
+4.03%
+0.29%
-7.86%
+1.31%
-9.24%
2017
+2.03%
+4.26%
+0.11%
+1.87%
+0.47%
+2.15%
+1.99%
+1.71%
+3.50%
+0.65%
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