Tocqueville - Seasonality

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Tocqueville - Seasonality

Seasonality Charts

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Correlation

Election

65.03%

1996

79.52%

Year	Jan	Feb	Mar	Apr	May	Jun	Jul	Aug	Sep	Oct	Nov	Dec
Probability %	70%	50%	50%	60%	90%	70%	90%	60%	56%	56%	89%	89%
Average return %	+2.20%	-0.41%	-1.25%	+1.53%	+2.79%	+1.41%	+2.20%	+1.10%	-1.41%	+1.59%	+4.54%	-6.43%
2026	+5.21%	+3.01%	-5.75%	+11.09%	+6.87%	+0.66%	-8.41%	+5.26%	-0.82%	--	--	--
2025	+4.47%	-3.58%	-5.80%	-6.52%	+13.43%	+6.00%	+3.41%	+1.09%	+4.03%	+5.04%	-2.20%	-3.45%
2024	+0.62%	+4.06%	+4.47%	-2.29%	+4.78%	+0.75%	+1.76%	+1.64%	+1.19%	-1.01%	+8.96%	-12.42%
2023	+5.88%	-3.15%	+1.05%	-0.41%	+0.28%	+7.07%	+3.88%	-2.67%	-5.62%	-2.53%	+7.33%	-0.59%
2022	-4.16%	-0.79%	+3.92%	-8.06%	+0.64%	-9.77%	+7.37%	-3.07%	-8.87%	+9.01%	+6.62%	-9.63%
2021	-0.98%	+3.58%	+4.29%	+3.52%	+1.30%	+0.72%	+1.08%	+2.46%	-5.24%	+6.70%	+1.14%	-5.27%
2020	-1.49%	-9.05%	-13.60%	+11.48%	+3.76%	+2.05%	+5.85%	+6.91%	-3.11%	-1.65%	+10.18%	+0.25%
2019	+6.77%	+3.34%	+1.95%	+4.62%	-7.14%	+7.63%	+0.85%	-1.60%	+2.25%	+1.61%	+3.49%	-3.94%
2018	+4.37%	-5.29%	-2.87%	+0.91%	+2.23%	-0.50%	+3.44%	+1.63%	+0.24%	-5.76%	+3.26%	-15.78%
2017	+1.29%	+3.75%	-0.20%	+0.94%	+1.72%	-0.47%	+2.76%	-0.60%	+2.46%	+2.93%	+2.10%	-7.08%

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