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Election
84.34%
2012
82.77%
Probability %
Average return %
+2.75%
-0.34%
-1.64%
+1.58%
+1.87%
-0.15%
+1.49%
+0.30%
-1.33%
-0.61%
+3.74%
+0.32%
2026
+5.69%
+5.28%
-8.63%
+8.09%
+3.94%
-0.31%
-0.85%
-1.58%
--
2025
+3.59%
+2.00%
-0.05%
-1.46%
+9.21%
+2.96%
-1.01%
+4.14%
+3.23%
+1.67%
+0.24%
+0.97%
2024
-1.66%
+3.29%
+2.71%
-2.31%
+3.99%
-1.57%
+2.54%
+2.14%
-4.80%
-0.29%
-4.11%
2023
+8.45%
-4.28%
+2.59%
+1.77%
-3.37%
+3.30%
+3.79%
-4.50%
-3.76%
-3.38%
+8.38%
+3.41%
2022
-2.52%
-3.17%
-6.21%
+1.52%
-9.16%
+3.46%
-4.06%
-10.35%
+3.38%
+13.63%
-3.40%
2021
0.00%
+2.20%
+1.35%
+2.58%
+3.26%
-1.35%
-1.50%
+1.70%
-3.93%
-4.35%
+2.64%
2020
-3.29%
-6.57%
-15.81%
+7.52%
+4.69%
+3.81%
+3.98%
+4.28%
-2.58%
-2.20%
+13.01%
+4.91%
2019
+7.58%
+1.64%
+0.45%
+2.79%
-5.49%
+4.66%
-1.93%
-2.25%
+2.07%
+3.42%
+1.03%
+3.09%
2018
+5.71%
-5.21%
-0.97%
+0.83%
-2.12%
-3.16%
+2.76%
-2.27%
-0.03%
-8.16%
+1.28%
-5.68%
2017
+3.93%
+1.40%
+2.56%
+2.16%
+3.10%
-0.64%
+0.62%
+1.24%
+1.96%
+0.75%
+1.07%
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