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Election
82.84%
2021
88.02%
Probability %
Average return %
+1.27%
-0.30%
-3.19%
-0.06%
+1.32%
+2.62%
+1.48%
+1.79%
-1.30%
-0.17%
+4.00%
-5.08%
2026
+0.05%
+3.13%
-9.77%
+0.02%
+1.41%
+6.21%
-0.98%
+4.78%
-2.11%
--
2025
+5.36%
-1.15%
-5.21%
-7.18%
+2.73%
+1.28%
-2.70%
+5.18%
+3.63%
+5.14%
+9.26%
-3.43%
2024
+0.70%
+2.71%
-1.25%
-2.90%
+3.25%
+2.79%
+2.86%
+5.24%
-4.26%
-5.46%
-0.61%
-14.92%
2023
-0.23%
-4.14%
+0.57%
+4.11%
-2.74%
+2.96%
-0.04%
-0.74%
-3.85%
-4.21%
+5.75%
2022
-7.37%
+0.03%
+0.91%
-4.55%
+0.06%
-1.13%
+3.84%
-4.67%
-2.32%
+7.67%
+5.84%
-3.65%
+1.34%
-3.12%
0.00%
+3.44%
+2.50%
+4.40%
+0.69%
+3.10%
-4.87%
-5.24%
+0.72%
2020
-1.75%
-5.39%
-6.89%
+11.37%
+5.83%
-1.45%
+3.69%
+1.93%
-1.49%
-4.84%
+7.29%
-3.05%
2019
+6.75%
+2.27%
-5.41%
-3.75%
-3.94%
+7.10%
+0.23%
-1.18%
-0.58%
+6.78%
+6.25%
-4.32%
2018
+5.06%
-4.58%
-2.53%
-2.35%
+2.18%
+0.74%
+6.62%
+4.86%
+1.13%
-7.76%
+5.41%
-14.17%
2017
+2.77%
+7.20%
-2.36%
+1.24%
+1.89%
+3.28%
+0.63%
-0.55%
+0.90%
-1.69%
+2.07%
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