Vanguard Emerging Markets Government Bond Index Fund - Seasonality

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Vanguard Emerging Markets Government Bond Index Fund - Seasonality

Seasonality Charts

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Correlation

Pre-election

84.42%

2015

84.08%

Year	Jan	Feb	Mar	Apr	May	Jun	Jul	Aug	Sep	Oct	Nov	Dec
Probability %	60%	56%	67%	60%	80%	60%	90%	60%	67%	89%	56%	67%
Average return %	+0.18%	-1.10%	-1.83%	-0.56%	+0.77%	+0.11%	+1.07%	-0.08%	-1.34%	-0.66%	+1.46%	+0.83%
2026	+0.18%	+0.92%	-3.85%	+1.96%	+0.41%	+0.22%	-2.17%	+0.26%	-1.73%	--	--	--
2025	+0.66%	+1.09%	-1.19%	-1.71%	+1.50%	+1.83%	+0.54%	+0.95%	+1.17%	+1.68%	-0.26%	-0.04%
2024	-1.71%	0.00%	+1.46%	-2.53%	+1.40%	-0.04%	+1.54%	+1.87%	+1.45%	-2.37%	+0.85%	-2.18%
2023	+3.00%	-2.99%	+0.97%	-0.16%	-1.41%	+1.51%	+1.33%	-2.10%	-3.53%	-2.06%	+5.62%	+4.51%
2022	-3.27%	-5.81%	-1.09%	-6.37%	+0.08%	-6.69%	+3.14%	-1.70%	-6.87%	-0.22%	+7.05%	-0.40%
2021	-1.63%	-2.89%	-1.65%	+1.84%	+0.85%	+0.47%	+0.16%	+0.62%	-2.48%	-0.32%	-2.01%	+1.27%
2020	+1.29%	-1.30%	-13.66%	+2.06%	+5.56%	+2.50%	+3.50%	+0.09%	-2.08%	-0.57%	+3.69%	+1.54%
2019	+2.90%	+0.45%	+0.97%	-0.10%	+0.03%	+3.00%	+0.87%	-0.03%	-0.55%	-0.06%	-0.59%	+1.62%
2018	-0.62%	-1.84%	-0.29%	-1.43%	-1.19%	-1.05%	+1.42%	-1.92%	+1.13%	-1.90%	-0.57%	+1.08%
2017	+0.99%	+1.40%	0.00%	+0.88%	+0.43%	-0.65%	+0.34%	+1.12%	-0.34%	-0.15%	-0.62%	+0.09%