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Election
65.41%
2008
74.80%
Probability %
Average return %
+3.26%
-0.12%
-1.86%
+0.74%
+4.04%
+2.94%
+1.47%
+1.54%
-0.92%
+0.78%
+5.04%
-7.47%
2026
+5.09%
-0.59%
-7.28%
+12.60%
+13.56%
+5.38%
-7.93%
+2.74%
-0.73%
--
2025
+5.13%
-1.48%
-6.67%
-9.28%
+13.89%
+5.52%
+1.33%
+3.61%
+5.33%
+4.51%
+1.72%
-7.51%
2024
-0.15%
+5.36%
+3.72%
-3.95%
+4.28%
+2.75%
-1.30%
+2.39%
+0.83%
-1.58%
+4.41%
-10.16%
2023
+8.07%
-3.92%
+3.04%
-0.63%
+1.34%
+6.13%
+3.59%
+0.69%
-3.67%
-4.41%
+8.05%
+3.35%
2022
-6.50%
-2.73%
+2.78%
-8.53%
+1.42%
-7.30%
+7.09%
-4.57%
-7.88%
+7.23%
+7.21%
-13.25%
2021
+3.17%
+3.76%
+1.56%
+3.19%
+3.95%
+0.25%
+2.22%
-4.92%
+5.55%
-1.77%
-8.61%
2020
-1.92%
-6.52%
-13.60%
+10.60%
+5.18%
+5.03%
+3.83%
+6.29%
-1.78%
-1.63%
+13.70%
-4.10%
2019
+9.25%
+4.00%
-0.95%
+3.23%
-8.85%
+7.30%
+1.85%
-3.87%
+1.21%
+4.54%
+5.20%
-3.49%
2018
+6.78%
-2.93%
-1.87%
-1.61%
+5.06%
-0.79%
+5.46%
+4.33%
-0.60%
-9.44%
+3.78%
-19.81%
2017
+3.70%
+3.89%
+0.64%
+1.82%
+3.18%
+0.48%
+1.57%
+2.24%
+3.08%
-3.68%
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