Vanguard Mortgage-Backed Securities Idx Fd Admiral Shs - Seasonality

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Vanguard Mortgage-Backed Securities Idx Fd Admiral Shs - Seasonality

Seasonality Charts

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Correlation

Pre-election

81.46%

2023

80.29%

Year	Jan	Feb	Mar	Apr	May	Jun	Jul	Aug	Sep	Oct	Nov	Dec
Probability %	50%	60%	50%	50%	50%	70%	56%	60%	78%	78%	56%	50%
Average return %	+0.09%	-0.33%	-0.06%	-0.66%	+0.11%	-0.10%	+0.34%	-0.11%	-0.97%	-0.91%	+1.13%	+0.27%
2026	+0.48%	+1.22%	-1.93%	-0.05%	-0.11%	-0.11%	-1.60%	+0.11%	-1.41%	--	--	--
2025	+0.33%	+1.98%	-0.32%	+0.22%	-1.51%	+1.32%	-0.65%	+1.20%	+0.81%	+0.43%	+0.32%	-0.21%
2024	-0.70%	-1.90%	+0.72%	-3.24%	+1.70%	+0.78%	+2.27%	+1.08%	+0.96%	-3.03%	+0.93%	-1.84%
2023	+2.85%	-2.77%	+1.70%	+0.16%	-1.02%	-0.60%	-0.27%	-1.15%	-3.38%	-2.47%	+5.00%	+3.86%
2022	-1.52%	-1.15%	-2.77%	-3.70%	+0.94%	-1.80%	+2.99%	-3.41%	-5.27%	-1.61%	+3.96%	-0.65%
2021	-0.05%	-0.69%	-0.61%	+0.52%	-0.37%	-0.19%	+0.52%	-0.28%	-0.37%	-0.38%	-0.14%	-0.28%
2020	+0.47%	+0.75%	+1.35%	+0.05%	-0.18%	-0.18%	0.00%	-0.09%	-0.23%	-0.23%	-0.05%	+0.05%
2019	+0.58%	-0.34%	+1.07%	-0.24%	+0.86%	+0.43%	+0.14%	+0.71%	-0.09%	+0.19%	-0.09%	0.00%
2018	-1.38%	-0.77%	+0.34%	-0.73%	+0.44%	-0.15%	-0.29%	+0.29%	-0.78%	-0.88%	+0.64%	+1.43%
2017	-0.14%	+0.38%	-0.19%	+0.43%	+0.38%	-0.52%	+0.29%	+0.47%	-0.38%	-0.24%	-0.38%	+0.10%