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Election
79.90%
1996
77.88%
Probability %
Average return %
+1.59%
-0.30%
-0.85%
+0.77%
+1.67%
+0.04%
+1.75%
+0.61%
-0.95%
-0.01%
+3.00%
-2.45%
2026
+2.08%
+1.76%
-4.73%
+5.76%
+3.01%
-1.05%
-0.92%
+1.86%
-0.81%
--
2025
+2.55%
-0.06%
-2.21%
-3.34%
+7.84%
+2.14%
+0.51%
+2.17%
+2.53%
+1.48%
+0.28%
-3.46%
2024
-0.13%
+2.20%
+2.25%
-2.96%
+3.15%
+0.09%
+1.94%
+1.90%
-2.19%
+2.81%
-7.83%
2023
+5.69%
-2.72%
+2.62%
+0.97%
-0.96%
+2.35%
+2.23%
-1.95%
-3.43%
-2.23%
+7.03%
+1.47%
2022
-3.64%
-2.10%
0.00%
-6.16%
+0.34%
-6.48%
+5.28%
-3.55%
-7.25%
+3.39%
+6.38%
-4.92%
2021
-0.44%
+1.08%
+1.29%
+2.73%
+1.00%
+0.42%
+0.83%
+1.33%
-2.82%
+2.94%
-1.37%
-1.00%
2020
+0.03%
-4.02%
-9.27%
+7.32%
+3.26%
+3.58%
+3.21%
-1.62%
-1.41%
+7.76%
+0.35%
2019
+1.69%
+2.12%
-3.05%
+3.30%
+0.33%
-0.25%
+1.05%
+1.54%
2018
+2.87%
-2.79%
-0.59%
+0.11%
+0.74%
-1.14%
+1.82%
+0.84%
-0.04%
-4.89%
+1.26%
-6.73%
2017
+1.61%
+2.00%
+0.68%
+1.15%
-0.54%
+1.63%
+0.54%
+1.14%
+1.32%
-0.37%
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