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Election
73.15%
2008
76.66%
Probability %
Average return %
+1.25%
-0.16%
-1.32%
+0.48%
+1.82%
+0.61%
+1.80%
+0.72%
-1.43%
+0.34%
+2.93%
-0.27%
2026
+1.12%
+0.44%
-4.26%
+5.24%
+2.62%
-0.56%
-0.97%
+1.36%
-1.20%
--
2025
+1.79%
-0.41%
-4.12%
-4.57%
+7.72%
+2.35%
+1.10%
+1.43%
+2.21%
+1.73%
+0.30%
-0.51%
2024
+0.63%
+2.65%
+1.01%
-2.56%
+2.17%
+1.57%
+0.94%
-1.13%
+3.83%
-2.42%
2023
+4.51%
-2.18%
+1.99%
+0.53%
-0.13%
+3.15%
+1.83%
-1.25%
-3.97%
-1.56%
+7.10%
+3.00%
2022
-4.03%
-1.55%
-0.12%
-5.54%
+0.69%
-5.17%
+5.70%
-2.83%
-6.47%
+3.52%
+4.71%
-3.24%
2021
+0.68%
+1.67%
+3.06%
+0.37%
+0.97%
+1.38%
+1.34%
-2.92%
+3.18%
-0.22%
+1.70%
2020
+0.91%
-3.36%
-8.50%
+5.63%
+4.18%
+0.98%
+3.65%
+3.47%
-2.25%
-1.21%
+6.14%
+1.96%
2019
+4.38%
+1.91%
+0.89%
+2.11%
-2.43%
+2.97%
+1.16%
-0.24%
-0.09%
+1.86%
+1.03%
2018
+2.12%
-1.88%
-1.40%
0.00%
+1.68%
-0.10%
+1.75%
+1.69%
-0.60%
-3.72%
-4.39%
2017
+1.26%
+2.13%
-0.35%
+0.87%
-0.31%
+1.30%
+1.17%
+1.09%
+0.42%
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