Vanguard Long-Term Treasury Fund - Seasonality

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Vanguard Long-Term Treasury Fund - Seasonality

Seasonality Charts

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Correlation

2003

91.47%

Year	Jan	Feb	Mar	Apr	May	Jun	Jul	Aug	Sep	Oct	Nov	Dec
Probability %	50%	60%	50%	60%	63%	80%	56%	56%	67%	78%	89%	67%
Average return %	+0.11%	-0.36%	-0.20%	-2.01%	+0.51%	+0.78%	+0.26%	+0.37%	-2.47%	-2.41%	+2.47%	-1.00%
2026	-0.50%	+3.78%	-4.37%	-0.89%	0.00%	+0.64%	-4.45%	+0.40%	-1.72%	--	--	--
2025	+0.63%	+4.41%	-1.33%	-4.89%	+0.26%	+2.18%	-1.25%	0.00%	+2.67%	+0.99%	+0.12%	-2.33%
2024	-2.51%	-2.46%	+0.84%	-6.31%	+2.54%	+1.36%	+3.18%	+1.78%	+1.63%	-5.50%	+1.45%	-5.73%
2023	+6.73%	-5.02%	+4.39%	+0.32%	-3.11%	-0.33%	-2.45%	-3.08%	-7.65%	-5.22%	+8.74%	+8.28%
2022	-3.83%	-1.71%	-5.46%	-9.11%	-2.22%	-1.67%	+2.40%	-4.60%	-8.21%	-5.81%	+6.64%	-2.45%
2021	-3.56%	-5.76%	-7.60%	+2.20%	0.00%	+3.73%	+3.44%	-0.39%	-3.03%	+1.84%	+2.51%	-2.07%
2020	+7.09%	+6.41%	+4.62%	+1.66%	-1.82%	+0.26%	+4.03%	-4.85%	+0.65%	-3.34%	+1.39%	-8.05%
2019	+0.25%	-1.52%	+5.22%	-2.12%	+6.40%	+0.78%	0.00%	+10.47%	-2.81%	-1.30%	-0.59%	-3.46%
2018	-3.63%	-3.09%	+2.50%	-2.27%	+1.55%	+0.42%	-1.52%	+0.94%	-2.97%	-3.06%	+1.54%	+5.25%
2017	+0.43%	+1.36%	-0.84%	+1.35%	+1.50%	+0.41%	-0.82%	+3.05%	-2.48%	-0.25%	+0.41%	+1.55%

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