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Election
79.22%
2008
79.11%
Probability %
Average return %
+2.96%
-0.70%
-1.44%
+1.67%
+2.50%
+1.56%
+3.12%
+0.54%
-1.63%
+0.66%
+4.81%
-3.65%
2026
+2.27%
-1.46%
-5.85%
+13.21%
+3.83%
+0.49%
-1.28%
+0.92%
-2.28%
--
2025
+8.22%
-3.42%
-4.65%
-8.32%
+13.04%
+5.66%
+1.29%
+2.83%
+2.57%
+2.81%
-6.51%
2024
+1.21%
+5.56%
+3.82%
-2.51%
+5.45%
+2.67%
-0.09%
+0.74%
+0.19%
-0.73%
+2.95%
-12.47%
2023
+5.67%
-4.16%
+1.16%
+0.45%
+3.74%
+5.75%
+5.89%
-3.82%
-2.70%
+7.54%
+1.45%
2022
-6.44%
-4.04%
+1.42%
-12.35%
+1.73%
-8.85%
+8.96%
-5.29%
-8.82%
+4.90%
+7.15%
-5.57%
2021
+2.06%
+4.29%
+6.16%
-0.45%
+1.58%
+2.05%
+4.18%
-5.51%
+5.99%
+0.52%
-0.81%
2020
-1.53%
-6.69%
-10.16%
+13.87%
+3.79%
+1.46%
+6.17%
-4.40%
+0.04%
+11.01%
-0.39%
2019
+9.91%
+2.31%
+0.85%
+2.61%
-3.10%
+1.91%
+4.13%
2018
+8.70%
-1.73%
-4.17%
+1.13%
+2.48%
-0.55%
+5.02%
+3.48%
-0.50%
-8.47%
+4.15%
-9.77%
2017
+1.05%
+4.60%
-1.08%
+1.25%
+0.25%
+1.74%
-1.41%
+4.45%
+2.20%
+3.38%
+0.73%
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