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Election
61.94%
2020
69.42%
Probability %
Average return %
+8.19%
-4.02%
-5.68%
-6.23%
+0.11%
+8.37%
-2.62%
+7.28%
-4.97%
+5.84%
+11.64%
+0.33%
2026
-8.40%
-21.10%
-10.47%
0.00%
-14.94%
-1.53%
+42.64%
-11.41%
-6.75%
--
2025
-4.25%
+7.88%
-21.92%
-11.11%
-4.61%
+7.59%
-12.18%
+1.46%
+56.12%
+29.49%
-23.13%
+10.19%
2024
+22.26%
-4.22%
-37.74%
-26.11%
-12.57%
+36.99%
-8.50%
-7.10%
-11.76%
+18.67%
+1.12%
+17.78%
2023
+52.66%
-10.85%
-25.22%
-25.58%
-16.41%
+36.45%
+33.56%
-10.77%
-13.79%
+69.33%
+9.45%
+11.51%
2022
-31.81%
-19.03%
+24.42%
-1.85%
-27.55%
-3.12%
-1.08%
+8.70%
-14.50%
-30.70%
+73.84%
-17.96%
2021
+15.11%
-5.40%
+5.70%
+5.76%
+52.38%
-12.39%
-11.85%
+7.95%
-19.81%
-4.84%
-21.05%
-12.67%
+4.38%
-11.84%
+13.85%
+32.99%
+62.48%
-6.49%
-11.22%
-22.18%
-23.63%
+11.22%
-16.00%
2019
+15.56%
+32.42%
+47.30%
-4.79%
-8.43%
+0.48%
-22.51%
-13.90%
-1.69%
-3.68%
+16.28%
+39.82%
2018
-51.66%
-37.14%
+101.82%
-12.16%
-7.95%
+25.35%
-30.00%
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