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Election
63.96%
2008
81.73%
Probability %
Average return %
+2.15%
+0.99%
-2.58%
+0.66%
+2.10%
+2.03%
+2.47%
+1.81%
-1.64%
-0.10%
+5.03%
-3.06%
2026
+2.59%
+0.21%
-4.75%
+9.68%
+3.94%
+3.43%
-5.21%
+3.83%
-3.18%
--
2025
+3.32%
-6.84%
-8.04%
-8.71%
+10.20%
+5.13%
+0.65%
+3.52%
+1.32%
+0.54%
+2.55%
-3.96%
2024
-1.87%
+9.47%
+1.38%
-7.98%
+3.28%
-2.08%
+6.14%
+0.79%
+1.70%
-1.57%
+8.96%
-16.20%
2023
+10.61%
-2.69%
-0.55%
-1.25%
+8.02%
+2.31%
-3.21%
-5.23%
-6.80%
+1.98%
2022
-12.53%
+2.04%
+1.42%
-11.45%
-3.05%
-8.01%
+11.12%
-3.37%
-7.84%
+7.49%
+6.44%
-4.76%
2021
+1.05%
+4.59%
-1.56%
+4.49%
-3.88%
+3.51%
+0.24%
+1.94%
-3.30%
+6.26%
-5.76%
2020
+0.85%
-5.95%
-15.98%
+13.67%
+10.92%
+0.29%
+4.56%
+5.34%
+0.34%
+13.53%
+6.41%
2019
+9.72%
+6.59%
+0.12%
+4.29%
-4.48%
+6.71%
+2.62%
-1.98%
+0.07%
+4.47%
-0.29%
2018
+5.35%
-1.74%
-0.04%
+3.77%
+1.57%
+1.51%
+7.73%
-0.81%
-9.98%
+2.57%
-11.82%
2017
+2.40%
+4.24%
+1.97%
+3.21%
+1.60%
+1.75%
+0.77%
+1.28%
+2.99%
+2.78%
+3.03%
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