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Election
63.25%
2008
80.43%
Probability %
Average return %
+2.12%
+0.96%
-2.60%
+0.64%
+2.09%
+2.00%
+2.45%
+1.79%
-1.67%
-0.11%
+5.01%
-3.29%
2026
+2.60%
+0.16%
-4.74%
+9.62%
+3.93%
+3.42%
-5.24%
+3.79%
-3.19%
--
2025
+3.32%
-6.88%
-8.05%
-8.71%
+10.18%
+5.06%
+0.63%
+3.53%
+1.30%
+0.48%
+2.55%
-4.28%
2024
-1.89%
+9.44%
+1.37%
-8.01%
+3.24%
-2.09%
+6.10%
+0.79%
+1.68%
-1.61%
+8.95%
-17.21%
2023
+10.56%
-2.72%
-2.06%
-0.59%
-1.24%
+7.95%
+2.32%
-3.25%
-5.25%
-6.82%
+9.45%
+1.29%
2022
-12.55%
+2.02%
+1.39%
-11.48%
-3.06%
-8.02%
+11.11%
-3.40%
-7.89%
+7.46%
+6.45%
-4.79%
2021
+1.03%
+4.56%
-1.58%
+4.44%
-3.88%
+3.52%
+0.20%
+1.91%
-3.30%
+6.23%
-5.78%
+1.41%
2020
+0.83%
-5.97%
-16.02%
+13.69%
+10.87%
+0.31%
+4.50%
+5.35%
-1.63%
+0.29%
+13.53%
+6.38%
2019
+9.63%
+6.61%
+0.08%
+4.28%
-4.50%
+6.67%
+2.57%
+0.19%
-2.02%
+0.11%
+4.42%
-0.31%
2018
+5.31%
-1.75%
+1.65%
-0.04%
+3.75%
+1.53%
+1.51%
+7.69%
-0.85%
-9.95%
+2.50%
-11.80%
2017
+2.40%
+4.17%
+1.95%
+3.21%
+1.58%
+1.69%
+0.76%
+2.95%
+2.78%
+3.00%
-0.30%
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