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Election
49.60%
2008
73.55%
Probability %
Average return %
+4.49%
+0.16%
-1.73%
+1.58%
+6.18%
+3.90%
+2.40%
+1.40%
-1.74%
+1.00%
+4.71%
-14.93%
2026
+7.67%
-1.94%
-7.18%
+23.14%
+13.74%
+4.54%
-8.02%
+2.76%
-0.38%
--
2025
+5.43%
-3.85%
-10.45%
-8.75%
+26.70%
+10.95%
+3.72%
+0.21%
+7.71%
+6.32%
-3.94%
-15.13%
2024
+4.34%
+9.17%
+1.57%
-6.71%
+7.63%
+8.26%
-4.00%
+2.51%
+4.17%
-1.69%
+4.30%
-15.50%
2023
+11.17%
-1.64%
+5.63%
-2.67%
+5.60%
+6.36%
+2.89%
-3.04%
-6.01%
-1.70%
+13.16%
-5.07%
2022
-9.53%
-3.68%
+2.22%
-13.20%
-1.63%
-11.09%
+12.87%
-5.24%
-9.58%
+3.50%
-29.32%
2021
+2.72%
+0.87%
-0.56%
+3.89%
-0.90%
+5.15%
+1.61%
+2.05%
-6.04%
+4.36%
-1.10%
-28.88%
2020
+0.36%
-6.29%
-11.08%
+12.78%
+5.78%
+5.21%
+6.30%
+8.19%
-4.36%
-1.65%
+14.99%
-4.40%
2019
+11.71%
+6.70%
+2.35%
+6.65%
-6.87%
+10.05%
-2.25%
-1.83%
+4.44%
-7.65%
2018
+7.76%
-2.97%
+8.77%
-0.46%
+2.43%
+5.34%
-1.77%
-9.87%
+0.57%
-20.22%
2017
+3.24%
+3.94%
+3.15%
+2.37%
+2.93%
+0.05%
+4.14%
+3.52%
+5.27%
+0.09%
-8.16%
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