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Election
63.93%
2015
72.31%
Probability %
Average return %
-2.86%
-10.02%
-10.98%
+12.11%
+0.29%
+2.54%
-0.61%
+4.88%
-2.87%
-0.37%
+2.11%
+6.07%
2026
-12.37%
-2.60%
-28.53%
+40.55%
-3.92%
+0.16%
-1.20%
-2.67%
-6.50%
--
2025
-0.04%
-24.02%
-4.41%
+1.31%
+20.39%
-5.96%
-5.73%
-4.54%
+6.48%
-3.64%
-11.56%
-2.65%
2024
+27.77%
-13.23%
-17.01%
+23.94%
-6.92%
+10.08%
+7.89%
-2.28%
-9.76%
-5.04%
-4.13%
2023
-1.94%
-12.60%
-10.37%
+13.56%
-6.67%
+8.28%
-0.35%
+19.53%
+14.11%
-14.66%
-2.20%
-0.31%
2022
-17.93%
-15.33%
-3.62%
+3.94%
-21.96%
-13.45%
+21.02%
+9.17%
-8.10%
+1.40%
-4.56%
+8.78%
2021
-8.58%
+2.71%
-9.58%
+8.16%
+21.28%
+25.07%
+14.25%
-9.49%
-8.90%
+5.28%
+8.98%
+11.88%
2020
+1.07%
-25.07%
-33.80%
+28.72%
-13.02%
+22.33%
-8.35%
+17.16%
-7.59%
+20.35%
+23.41%
+27.40%
2019
-6.60%
-7.78%
+8.32%
+4.25%
+4.95%
-16.73%
-24.31%
+17.45%
+1.12%
+0.86%
-6.36%
-1.96%
2018
-18.38%
-2.39%
-15.79%
+4.46%
+8.19%
-8.53%
+1.32%
+7.21%
-17.18%
+1.66%
-1.06%
+3.11%
2017
+8.41%
+0.07%
+5.01%
-7.77%
+0.55%
+4.12%
-10.61%
-2.73%
-1.21%
-4.83%
+17.42%
+12.50%
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