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Election
81.83%
2008
85.73%
Probability %
Average return %
-1.46%
+3.99%
-0.16%
+3.21%
+5.80%
+2.88%
+0.36%
+3.83%
+2.77%
-2.69%
+4.95%
+3.52%
2026
+6.34%
+12.96%
-4.13%
-4.33%
+3.17%
-15.37%
+8.46%
+5.08%
-6.21%
--
2025
-8.77%
-11.28%
-3.22%
+3.93%
+11.37%
+0.58%
-7.01%
-2.95%
+0.49%
+6.13%
-0.64%
-3.63%
2024
-4.04%
+13.04%
-3.76%
+6.37%
-1.00%
+13.54%
-8.07%
-12.31%
+3.66%
-11.02%
+1.14%
-7.72%
2023
+4.52%
-8.00%
-5.60%
+8.26%
+25.83%
+8.85%
-0.67%
-0.78%
-2.13%
-3.23%
+5.35%
-2.16%
2022
-5.36%
-10.08%
+4.18%
+6.45%
-19.66%
-4.30%
+9.66%
+20.13%
+2.36%
-9.02%
-7.21%
+4.21%
2021
-3.70%
+23.93%
+1.32%
-2.33%
+18.75%
+6.10%
+4.63%
-1.95%
+5.84%
+1.12%
+0.60%
2020
+3.95%
-6.45%
-18.14%
+0.35%
-6.65%
+8.77%
+1.04%
+16.33%
+9.16%
-8.24%
+27.06%
+24.85%
2019
+0.33%
-4.47%
+7.52%
+6.08%
+0.05%
-6.10%
+5.77%
+8.96%
+1.52%
+3.79%
2018
-5.43%
+13.50%
-1.48%
+6.39%
+8.94%
-2.64%
+10.75%
-0.87%
-11.01%
-0.33%
+5.81%
+8.59%
2017
-2.41%
+16.78%
+21.70%
+0.90%
+9.77%
+13.25%
-9.06%
+9.88%
+7.62%
+3.11%
+10.95%
-0.05%
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