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Election
79.94%
2008
86.99%
Probability %
Average return %
+0.52%
-3.28%
-4.55%
+11.86%
+6.15%
+3.48%
+5.22%
+2.89%
-3.11%
-2.10%
-1.89%
+2.93%
2026
-2.40%
-5.05%
-20.30%
+13.41%
+3.34%
-3.39%
+7.93%
-4.19%
--
2025
-20.00%
-12.24%
+2.84%
+4.82%
+22.29%
+0.57%
-0.99%
-18.69%
+2.92%
-0.54%
-11.63%
-3.98%
2024
+5.89%
-5.57%
-7.42%
+2.98%
-6.40%
+14.44%
+4.84%
-5.33%
-7.94%
-8.57%
-1.03%
2023
-3.79%
-9.81%
+6.53%
+12.56%
+4.05%
+10.20%
-2.45%
-0.47%
-4.90%
-2.55%
-1.91%
+2.86%
2022
-4.44%
-3.09%
-4.31%
-3.42%
-1.51%
-6.06%
-0.90%
+5.08%
-23.10%
+0.32%
-9.24%
+0.35%
2021
-0.23%
+32.55%
+0.95%
+18.39%
+35.86%
-5.88%
+38.57%
-11.31%
-9.26%
-13.17%
-1.77%
+2.17%
2020
+14.18%
-24.70%
-39.96%
+25.96%
+16.82%
+25.63%
+6.39%
+32.00%
+4.30%
+1.41%
+17.71%
+12.10%
2019
-7.65%
-2.66%
-0.18%
-0.06%
-1.45%
-11.21%
-28.01%
-0.89%
+10.90%
-10.10%
+5.63%
2018
+15.80%
+1.49%
-7.71%
+39.22%
-4.66%
-17.86%
+19.19%
+14.95%
-14.43%
+7.97%
-9.80%
+1.76%
2017
+7.83%
-3.67%
+24.06%
+4.77%
-1.66%
+21.65%
+18.97%
+0.36%
+5.67%
+2.58%
+11.58%
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