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Election
89.10%
2016
84.09%
Probability %
Average return %
-0.21%
+5.31%
-9.69%
+9.43%
+4.35%
+2.89%
+2.36%
+3.89%
+0.66%
+0.39%
+8.43%
+1.66%
2026
-8.98%
+24.01%
-12.64%
+18.48%
+3.60%
+4.30%
-4.76%
+10.13%
-2.84%
--
2025
-6.71%
-20.85%
+12.52%
-7.53%
+20.15%
+0.23%
+5.95%
-16.98%
+2.19%
+3.15%
+2.63%
-7.20%
2024
+12.60%
+6.27%
-7.72%
+8.19%
-6.18%
+17.64%
-3.57%
-2.12%
-2.52%
-3.43%
-9.39%
2023
-9.58%
+21.72%
-4.33%
+5.17%
+17.33%
-1.15%
-0.40%
-8.59%
+3.82%
-0.41%
+4.63%
+2.62%
2022
+10.98%
-0.69%
-15.23%
+24.05%
-0.78%
+3.71%
+3.58%
+32.85%
-14.33%
+15.01%
-0.20%
-13.30%
2021
+3.83%
+15.21%
+4.08%
+12.50%
-1.29%
-1.78%
+5.65%
-9.98%
+4.01%
-2.68%
+38.10%
+8.89%
2020
-2.81%
-12.35%
-49.52%
+17.86%
+1.99%
+8.99%
+9.32%
+39.38%
+9.16%
-13.55%
+29.16%
+12.95%
2019
-8.40%
+10.32%
-6.57%
+7.50%
+5.66%
-7.46%
-2.31%
-3.13%
+23.69%
-9.32%
-6.27%
-0.17%
2018
+2.60%
-1.58%
-18.65%
+12.28%
-1.38%
-3.88%
+7.67%
-0.12%
-15.39%
+1.22%
0.00%
2017
+4.42%
+11.05%
+1.18%
-4.22%
+4.43%
+8.26%
+2.51%
-4.85%
-5.10%
+12.62%
+11.23%
+14.90%
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