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Election
46.27%
2019
78.46%
Probability %
Average return %
-4.26%
-11.49%
-3.06%
+14.32%
-3.07%
+8.53%
+5.60%
+11.11%
+4.94%
+7.18%
-0.29%
+5.67%
2026
-11.73%
-6.33%
-19.75%
+18.62%
-1.63%
+23.11%
-10.64%
+6.38%
-3.22%
--
2025
-20.55%
-21.64%
+8.29%
-4.13%
+15.91%
-6.35%
+7.29%
-8.31%
+45.04%
-2.66%
-2.80%
-5.08%
2024
+8.20%
-21.93%
-3.75%
+48.87%
-7.97%
+2.56%
+16.49%
-1.09%
+16.23%
+27.66%
+21.71%
-6.54%
2023
-6.16%
-9.02%
-3.98%
+16.28%
-2.15%
+1.44%
+9.15%
+8.57%
-0.86%
+18.18%
+11.52%
+24.39%
2022
+24.35%
-23.71%
+4.76%
+7.03%
-28.52%
-19.14%
+11.45%
+19.01%
-4.84%
-5.88%
+4.70%
2021
-14.27%
+3.17%
-7.28%
-1.08%
+22.72%
+14.77%
+29.72%
+3.88%
-6.77%
+4.22%
-17.26%
+7.24%
2020
-12.02%
-15.37%
-50.53%
+47.18%
-4.35%
+28.83%
-7.71%
+27.84%
+3.99%
+14.16%
+12.90%
-11.64%
-21.99%
+44.38%
-13.13%
-6.92%
-13.46%
-21.08%
-1.82%
+20.25%
+11.79%
-16.44%
+9.56%
2018
-3.24%
-11.90%
-21.79%
+8.50%
-12.68%
-17.34%
+10.34%
+12.06%
-31.38%
-4.11%
+1.38%
+9.92%
2017
+4.51%
+13.78%
+19.09%
+15.03%
-5.10%
+70.91%
+11.03%
+44.60%
+2.81%
+5.37%
-6.04%
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