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Election
81.79%
2013
90.08%
Probability %
Average return %
-2.82%
-6.61%
-5.46%
+22.91%
-2.70%
+2.99%
+5.72%
-1.99%
-0.61%
+4.93%
-2.49%
+9.54%
2026
-12.65%
-4.74%
-18.64%
+36.89%
-8.79%
-1.00%
+0.62%
-13.70%
-7.67%
--
2025
+8.97%
-21.56%
+2.94%
-8.03%
+8.71%
+1.37%
-7.63%
-6.86%
-1.02%
+8.23%
-9.43%
-3.47%
2024
-4.00%
-5.84%
+4.01%
+78.83%
-16.44%
+10.99%
+48.70%
-14.27%
+29.88%
-14.78%
-10.40%
+5.59%
2023
-2.14%
+1.33%
-1.31%
+9.68%
+0.95%
+25.45%
+2.66%
+2.33%
+1.63%
+23.42%
+1.81%
+33.55%
2022
-20.11%
-15.90%
-8.39%
+16.89%
-11.24%
-8.51%
+7.44%
+24.24%
+6.71%
-14.86%
+1.44%
+1.80%
2021
-14.10%
-1.27%
-16.63%
+6.69%
+20.87%
-6.19%
+38.09%
-24.35%
+2.75%
+10.41%
-3.77%
+37.31%
2020
+7.53%
-6.12%
-32.29%
+46.16%
-3.72%
+13.58%
-6.28%
+4.47%
-10.61%
-5.88%
+9.96%
+5.88%
2019
-11.39%
-5.09%
+27.18%
+41.39%
-19.51%
-20.41%
-28.18%
+29.34%
-0.68%
-6.07%
-10.56%
+6.82%
2018
-11.66%
-8.82%
-17.38%
+6.28%
-16.81%
-16.73%
+7.49%
-13.24%
-22.42%
+8.67%
-0.22%
-3.18%
2017
+31.39%
+1.93%
+5.96%
-5.67%
+19.01%
+31.33%
-5.74%
-7.85%
-11.75%
+35.21%
-1.20%
+1.59%
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