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Election
74.90%
2021
89.38%
Probability %
Average return %
+6.00%
+1.24%
-7.86%
+7.59%
-4.49%
+9.43%
+5.36%
-4.32%
-2.22%
-2.92%
+1.37%
+7.02%
2026
-14.84%
-6.32%
-21.14%
+36.95%
+9.97%
+21.10%
+8.21%
-16.91%
-0.23%
--
2025
-4.15%
-14.03%
-6.06%
-7.09%
-0.04%
+2.27%
+10.88%
-12.40%
+6.91%
+7.64%
-11.49%
-5.02%
2024
+7.73%
-7.61%
-16.30%
+11.73%
-13.86%
+7.85%
+33.86%
-4.51%
+3.94%
+6.59%
+0.49%
+48.40%
2023
+3.42%
-11.69%
-1.60%
+5.87%
-2.29%
+3.34%
+1.04%
+10.58%
-8.14%
-9.11%
+5.09%
+15.03%
2022
+50.51%
-16.98%
+10.82%
-13.25%
-6.55%
-4.07%
+9.53%
+4.76%
-12.18%
-1.32%
-6.00%
+0.59%
+60.11%
-6.86%
+13.87%
-13.48%
+27.67%
+0.25%
-15.50%
+0.92%
-2.81%
+2.92%
+0.44%
2020
+1.76%
-4.59%
-46.48%
+14.16%
-12.97%
+21.06%
-1.78%
-5.64%
-7.43%
+20.29%
+1.43%
2019
+3.46%
+2.36%
+10.87%
+5.96%
-0.51%
-0.99%
-7.78%
-9.66%
+20.65%
-4.11%
-3.39%
-1.07%
2018
+1.02%
-10.43%
-8.30%
+9.71%
+6.29%
+9.05%
+1.21%
+6.39%
-15.06%
-12.21%
+5.55%
-3.30%
2017
+10.53%
+21.53%
+6.47%
-1.98%
-11.46%
+7.00%
-0.80%
-4.20%
-11.36%
-5.90%
-5.84%
+13.31%
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