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Election
85.22%
2020
81.67%
Probability %
Average return %
-1.42%
-12.63%
-14.74%
+20.01%
+3.61%
-0.69%
+1.14%
+6.59%
-2.12%
-8.60%
+10.74%
+6.17%
2026
-7.89%
-16.30%
-22.00%
+35.63%
+12.84%
-5.81%
+1.55%
+16.09%
+0.82%
--
2025
-16.91%
-18.43%
-11.19%
+9.97%
+12.81%
-2.00%
-9.17%
-1.58%
-1.62%
+0.39%
-2.36%
-4.28%
2024
+31.04%
-30.64%
+20.35%
-8.05%
+3.38%
+9.31%
+12.13%
+1.07%
-6.52%
-7.55%
+14.25%
2023
+4.47%
-14.44%
-18.08%
+34.94%
+1.96%
-0.07%
-4.62%
-0.58%
+11.12%
-14.68%
+0.49%
-0.78%
2022
-5.59%
+1.13%
-10.59%
-11.07%
+11.62%
-15.51%
+3.98%
+1.70%
-8.69%
-3.40%
-10.53%
+1.63%
2021
-2.29%
-3.45%
+1.06%
+29.90%
-1.33%
+28.31%
+4.25%
-4.43%
+14.67%
+7.84%
+26.07%
+30.06%
+23.94%
-44.37%
-56.31%
+69.93%
+52.39%
-7.93%
+35.24%
+35.83%
-14.39%
-6.81%
-16.05%
+13.59%
2019
-23.34%
-11.61%
-0.48%
-3.53%
-7.78%
+2.75%
-29.79%
+25.06%
-11.94%
-15.95%
-7.70%
+1.76%
2018
-9.28%
-6.16%
+3.96%
-4.81%
-29.19%
-23.75%
-8.49%
-38.06%
-1.60%
-37.30%
+70.56%
-12.10%
2017
-8.36%
-11.93%
-3.14%
+18.82%
-9.16%
+13.69%
+9.15%
+19.72%
-7.73%
-0.96%
+43.70%
+11.37%
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