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Election
67.41%
2011
79.47%
Probability %
Average return %
-1.70%
-10.84%
+1.51%
+15.58%
-1.11%
+4.89%
+2.76%
+1.10%
+8.86%
+4.35%
+4.54%
+5.04%
2026
-6.75%
-6.45%
-11.56%
+25.03%
+0.51%
-0.90%
-7.05%
-2.08%
-5.41%
--
2025
-16.04%
-24.30%
+1.29%
+2.46%
+35.74%
-2.87%
-13.69%
-2.20%
+6.14%
+7.66%
-4.71%
+0.15%
2024
+11.98%
-12.49%
-15.33%
+21.49%
-3.22%
+3.97%
+0.08%
-1.42%
-15.88%
-11.68%
+26.60%
+35.07%
2023
-0.68%
-8.41%
-4.35%
+5.55%
+10.67%
+2.09%
+4.65%
+6.53%
+67.79%
+34.21%
-0.59%
+13.51%
2022
-2.17%
-18.14%
+2.28%
-8.74%
+9.58%
+16.00%
-2.74%
-7.13%
+0.62%
+7.59%
-9.24%
2021
-4.31%
+4.25%
-8.95%
-6.22%
+13.96%
+7.00%
-2.55%
-10.42%
+8.50%
-5.62%
-6.34%
2020
-7.62%
-16.44%
-12.11%
+38.57%
-5.35%
+26.49%
+23.87%
+3.80%
-6.72%
-5.21%
+4.94%
+1.89%
2019
+9.33%
-11.07%
+3.62%
-4.07%
+4.08%
-3.66%
-16.72%
-9.18%
+19.42%
+12.06%
-0.54%
+1.09%
2018
-13.60%
-0.97%
-3.74%
+7.02%
-23.35%
-14.05%
+13.59%
+27.12%
-29.10%
-3.98%
+20.83%
2017
+12.90%
-14.38%
+63.98%
+61.61%
-35.35%
+21.22%
+9.42%
+1.62%
+36.72%
+11.08%
-6.96%
-3.03%
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