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Election
81.43%
2008
72.73%
Probability %
Average return %
+1.67%
+1.50%
-0.13%
+8.48%
+9.08%
+4.54%
+0.62%
+8.37%
+3.77%
-1.15%
+10.24%
+2.26%
2026
-9.84%
+26.34%
-20.52%
+20.29%
+8.44%
+3.04%
-7.89%
+14.83%
-18.99%
--
2025
-9.31%
-23.70%
-5.77%
+5.90%
+17.84%
+5.05%
+1.36%
-0.87%
+6.61%
-0.75%
+2.82%
+7.59%
2024
-1.73%
+0.55%
+7.76%
+15.49%
+2.61%
+7.81%
-2.04%
+6.47%
-6.78%
-5.71%
+6.45%
+2.86%
2023
+10.31%
+0.59%
+4.52%
+11.56%
+5.39%
+15.95%
+4.92%
+11.44%
-2.01%
-9.45%
+19.90%
+12.81%
2022
-7.86%
-8.19%
+27.62%
-4.27%
+2.41%
-6.77%
+7.41%
+18.90%
-1.81%
+11.76%
-5.44%
-4.10%
2021
-2.66%
+7.79%
+4.50%
-0.34%
+18.31%
+12.52%
+2.21%
+7.52%
+21.65%
-1.52%
+21.01%
+5.72%
2020
+23.70%
-13.47%
-45.29%
+8.25%
-3.92%
+24.97%
-0.19%
+13.89%
-12.03%
-2.14%
+24.48%
+12.20%
2019
+0.39%
-5.13%
+24.36%
-4.11%
+28.86%
-8.67%
-8.65%
+7.29%
+8.66%
-12.09%
-11.71%
2018
+2.72%
+0.28%
+13.39%
+10.47%
-15.27%
+9.52%
-6.46%
-14.24%
-14.14%
+16.40%
+0.11%
2017
+10.98%
+29.94%
+2.30%
+18.66%
+6.75%
-0.47%
+10.66%
+27.04%
+2.95%
+18.60%
-5.14%
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