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Election
94.00%
2000
96.56%
Probability %
Average return %
+0.33%
-9.81%
-6.60%
+10.04%
-3.15%
+2.00%
+8.67%
-5.28%
+0.23%
+2.75%
+2.03%
+24.21%
2026
-5.83%
-12.27%
-27.81%
+45.23%
-3.18%
-2.15%
-8.50%
+0.70%
-12.56%
--
2025
-8.26%
-9.01%
+2.26%
-3.23%
+15.51%
+8.85%
-12.55%
-4.61%
-1.28%
-3.11%
-8.15%
-6.05%
2024
+48.14%
-13.84%
-23.63%
+18.75%
-5.01%
+14.14%
+97.06%
-27.52%
-13.71%
-6.65%
-0.10%
+3.73%
2023
-8.80%
-17.19%
-8.61%
+9.14%
-3.05%
+2.88%
+2.04%
+12.22%
+41.78%
-12.85%
+3.24%
+17.25%
2022
-23.56%
-17.25%
+0.22%
+13.50%
-14.81%
-13.73%
+31.30%
+2.22%
-14.23%
-3.92%
+13.19%
+10.81%
2021
-6.16%
+2.70%
+40.98%
-14.13%
+36.96%
-2.72%
-1.17%
-15.57%
+6.42%
-2.89%
-3.24%
+99.16%
2020
+17.46%
-24.32%
-27.98%
+19.83%
-3.45%
+30.00%
+1.65%
-1.62%
-8.79%
+14.46%
+0.53%
+44.50%
2019
-3.99%
-0.42%
-18.91%
-11.92%
-26.47%
-12.80%
+32.76%
+16.88%
+5.00%
2018
+1.20%
-10.71%
-16.67%
+2.93%
-15.28%
-2.45%
+0.63%
+1.87%
-17.43%
-0.37%
-4.83%
+26.56%
2017
+3.92%
+7.78%
+5.03%
+8.75%
-20.31%
-2.88%
+2.72%
-7.71%
+2.87%
+7.36%
+0.71%
+16.90%
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