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Election
80.74%
2020
50.43%
Probability %
Average return %
+9.01%
+15.10%
-1.21%
+6.51%
+4.68%
+3.70%
-0.46%
+1.92%
-2.26%
-2.47%
+3.65%
+5.11%
2026
-9.87%
-5.39%
-16.76%
+29.31%
-7.69%
-0.02%
+16.44%
-10.88%
+0.50%
--
2025
-28.51%
-2.40%
+2.53%
+2.71%
+7.88%
+16.82%
-6.79%
-13.42%
+3.55%
+1.52%
-9.93%
-3.26%
2024
+2.63%
-2.81%
-3.18%
+1.44%
-0.98%
+29.59%
+6.19%
-2.06%
-3.00%
-2.16%
+43.06%
-0.92%
2023
-4.20%
+2.66%
-8.91%
+0.04%
+2.39%
-1.80%
+3.76%
+14.62%
+3.53%
-4.15%
+8.90%
-1.29%
2022
-0.83%
-6.30%
+4.87%
-1.81%
+0.43%
-13.20%
-7.80%
-0.43%
-0.26%
+3.40%
-5.22%
-4.92%
2021
-0.67%
+8.61%
+9.16%
+0.02%
+23.95%
-7.36%
+0.48%
+23.79%
-5.17%
-7.14%
-13.84%
+7.32%
+7.96%
+3.77%
-21.22%
-1.22%
+10.46%
-0.23%
+4.84%
+0.59%
+2.51%
+9.05%
-6.94%
2019
-1.51%
-12.28%
+11.79%
+12.35%
+5.86%
-4.61%
+11.64%
-0.87%
+1.38%
+0.65%
+7.30%
2018
-15.41%
+3.05%
-18.88%
-1.77%
+21.78%
-6.66%
-8.30%
+5.69%
-17.46%
-13.14%
+18.46%
-1.33%
2017
+140.48%
+152.61%
+52.57%
+24.56%
-23.75%
+13.97%
-8.78%
-8.50%
-1.24%
-4.47%
-18.26%
+50.06%
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