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Election
72.02%
2008
91.71%
Probability %
Average return %
+4.54%
+2.10%
+3.46%
+4.58%
-4.53%
+8.98%
+6.52%
+18.41%
+4.34%
+2.31%
+4.47%
+11.46%
2026
-9.54%
-8.07%
-3.09%
+28.91%
-5.27%
+27.08%
-11.70%
-3.59%
-6.10%
--
2025
+1.36%
-26.91%
+8.94%
-0.51%
+5.86%
-4.72%
+20.26%
+9.45%
+0.69%
-0.28%
-19.25%
-4.11%
2024
+29.35%
+12.90%
-3.98%
-8.57%
+1.13%
+1.90%
-3.94%
-8.61%
+5.99%
-0.49%
-3.10%
-9.38%
2023
-4.54%
+5.44%
+24.30%
+6.81%
+11.07%
+32.33%
+18.30%
+8.59%
-3.85%
-5.13%
+4.83%
+12.77%
2022
+5.28%
-24.54%
+5.62%
-4.59%
-8.31%
+0.29%
+8.70%
-2.68%
-5.58%
-4.35%
-10.93%
-0.99%
2021
+1.51%
+31.57%
+19.86%
-16.47%
-3.36%
+27.48%
+35.67%
-1.78%
+38.51%
+35.96%
+46.86%
-3.16%
2020
-2.57%
-31.03%
-58.16%
+43.39%
-18.78%
+26.70%
-19.15%
+15.76%
-7.06%
-6.73%
+15.37%
+99.78%
2019
-3.61%
+0.97%
+7.20%
-14.06%
+0.14%
-4.64%
-4.86%
-12.82%
+17.05%
-0.57%
-8.48%
-1.19%
2018
+12.94%
-2.76%
-15.91%
-11.59%
+3.03%
-3.31%
+48.15%
-13.09%
+1.23%
+3.50%
+10.01%
2017
+15.17%
+63.41%
+49.85%
+12.68%
-16.15%
-19.68%
+25.20%
+131.59%
+6.37%
+11.42%
-0.58%
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