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Election
59.24%
2008
64.89%
Probability %
Average return %
+1.10%
-4.47%
-2.62%
+2.81%
+8.86%
+9.56%
+11.31%
+10.19%
+0.61%
+1.01%
+13.11%
+0.30%
2026
-3.31%
-1.20%
-12.01%
+13.43%
+7.66%
+21.90%
+2.44%
+19.32%
-53.48%
--
2025
-4.52%
-5.09%
-1.77%
-27.24%
+51.81%
+2.84%
-0.67%
-17.06%
+3.15%
+3.43%
+28.31%
-4.61%
2024
-10.02%
+12.24%
-16.58%
+10.65%
+5.49%
+15.90%
+37.21%
+1.20%
-10.52%
+5.30%
+24.98%
+22.36%
2023
-7.40%
+3.98%
+3.75%
+6.57%
+14.80%
+28.58%
-4.75%
+30.34%
+26.24%
+25.56%
-2.25%
+4.91%
2022
+49.89%
-24.74%
+7.76%
+6.33%
-8.42%
-2.57%
-2.74%
+51.67%
-23.73%
-9.09%
+7.38%
-7.54%
2021
-9.19%
-8.36%
+2.98%
+3.70%
+18.68%
+0.47%
+72.78%
-8.25%
-6.62%
-5.46%
+24.22%
-5.16%
2020
-3.05%
-12.76%
-16.55%
-6.95%
-4.39%
+5.10%
+11.55%
+25.94%
+1.69%
+10.91%
+5.05%
+16.78%
2019
+1.15%
-2.61%
+33.26%
-8.73%
+5.54%
-1.96%
-10.82%
-10.30%
+24.86%
-8.70%
+8.49%
-6.53%
2018
-8.93%
-10.28%
-5.68%
+18.04%
-2.20%
+0.57%
+9.41%
+22.98%
-13.35%
-7.90%
+9.24%
-5.88%
2017
+6.36%
+4.08%
-21.34%
+12.34%
-0.35%
+24.81%
-1.33%
-13.98%
+3.81%
-4.94%
+12.61%
-11.61%
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