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Election
75.63%
2010
87.05%
Probability %
Average return %
-0.35%
-3.03%
+0.08%
-0.34%
+0.21%
+5.73%
+1.86%
+3.09%
+4.27%
-0.22%
-2.33%
+2.23%
2026
-4.81%
-17.07%
-4.89%
+2.73%
+19.42%
+0.75%
+9.07%
-1.48%
+4.14%
--
2025
-4.91%
-8.72%
+4.71%
-6.94%
-0.23%
-1.41%
+3.60%
+3.90%
-3.84%
-0.90%
-17.23%
-9.61%
2024
+9.13%
-1.66%
+1.81%
-5.03%
+1.79%
+3.34%
+3.48%
+3.80%
-2.56%
-14.78%
-11.23%
+0.94%
2023
-6.74%
-1.76%
-0.18%
+2.21%
+14.71%
+7.36%
-2.36%
-8.60%
-5.97%
-6.60%
+7.23%
+0.67%
2022
+6.68%
-4.24%
+39.24%
+6.73%
-7.70%
+5.37%
+19.45%
+6.96%
+19.89%
+0.19%
-8.63%
+3.57%
2021
-1.13%
+5.14%
+3.59%
-7.00%
+13.93%
+4.83%
+11.89%
-9.92%
+9.43%
+30.85%
-6.21%
+2.34%
2020
+11.24%
-13.13%
-49.58%
-2.40%
-27.11%
+23.77%
-6.31%
+13.79%
-3.78%
-0.38%
+14.08%
+7.22%
2019
-5.12%
-6.51%
-2.99%
-0.40%
-0.24%
-22.79%
+6.71%
+6.66%
-12.50%
+4.51%
2018
-7.61%
+4.12%
-2.31%
+7.58%
+1.82%
-4.32%
+0.57%
+12.43%
-15.53%
-7.09%
+1.78%
+8.38%
2017
-0.21%
+13.57%
+11.43%
-0.85%
-19.86%
+17.85%
+1.97%
+3.30%
+34.12%
+9.19%
+4.07%
+2.08%
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