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Election
86.94%
2013
78.73%
Probability %
Average return %
-0.72%
+4.20%
+1.05%
+9.45%
+9.33%
+5.04%
+1.75%
+0.90%
+3.39%
+3.40%
+3.79%
+3.37%
2026
+3.91%
+23.82%
-5.75%
+35.40%
+14.39%
-6.09%
-8.67%
-31.30%
-1.71%
--
2025
-18.47%
-16.02%
+32.91%
+5.33%
+20.47%
-4.11%
+2.12%
-1.62%
+17.73%
+31.15%
+0.26%
-9.64%
2024
+16.29%
-1.36%
-0.54%
+13.06%
-0.19%
+6.18%
+16.85%
+2.72%
-1.77%
-1.53%
+5.67%
+3.42%
2023
+10.83%
+6.50%
+13.43%
+9.86%
+18.66%
+19.37%
+5.50%
+1.65%
-2.68%
-6.14%
2022
-5.16%
-14.33%
-5.42%
+1.00%
+31.38%
+2.03%
+21.50%
+3.77%
+3.80%
+1.60%
-11.20%
+7.62%
2021
-14.76%
+18.47%
-3.73%
+7.93%
+22.60%
-5.89%
+4.55%
+43.69%
+11.60%
+8.52%
+18.23%
+12.99%
2020
-1.30%
+23.08%
-49.40%
+6.78%
-5.57%
+37.81%
-15.48%
+19.47%
-5.08%
-8.27%
+21.47%
+21.09%
2019
-2.35%
+0.83%
-6.21%
+3.71%
+22.70%
+0.33%
-4.14%
-9.06%
+12.24%
-3.20%
-4.58%
-0.29%
2018
-1.27%
+12.94%
-11.88%
+5.29%
-19.00%
-4.54%
-4.82%
-14.71%
+0.88%
+3.59%
+0.95%
-1.89%
2017
+5.10%
-11.97%
+47.07%
+6.17%
-12.12%
+5.36%
+0.07%
-5.64%
-6.20%
+4.85%
-11.12%
+3.18%
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