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Election
76.26%
2012
78.69%
Probability %
Average return %
-1.95%
-7.07%
-11.28%
+11.00%
+3.46%
+2.88%
+8.29%
+5.17%
+0.75%
-2.68%
+0.20%
+3.39%
2026
-11.58%
-8.01%
-27.37%
+39.34%
-2.16%
-6.19%
+8.18%
-7.83%
+2.00%
--
2025
+0.25%
-18.48%
-5.40%
+1.54%
+16.35%
-2.94%
-9.54%
-3.75%
-1.49%
+12.82%
-9.66%
-6.10%
2024
+5.52%
+21.02%
-17.88%
+7.79%
-5.75%
+4.57%
+14.51%
-8.47%
-5.54%
-9.40%
+1.76%
+1.46%
2023
-4.62%
-13.05%
-4.40%
+13.91%
+2.48%
+41.71%
+6.19%
-2.73%
+0.55%
-0.82%
+3.53%
+14.81%
2022
-4.58%
-16.93%
-6.52%
+3.95%
-15.51%
-16.74%
+20.44%
+9.68%
-3.84%
+3.86%
-6.15%
-8.46%
2021
-5.65%
-17.22%
-5.16%
+4.90%
+14.16%
+7.08%
+42.87%
-8.15%
+0.88%
-6.96%
-5.61%
+13.98%
2020
+2.78%
-16.04%
-33.85%
+24.80%
+3.90%
+14.53%
+1.90%
+51.87%
+29.10%
-24.18%
+15.84%
+4.58%
2019
+2.97%
-8.96%
+3.87%
+2.37%
+4.41%
+10.14%
-1.63%
+2.92%
+0.95%
+2.63%
-5.39%
+7.83%
2018
-3.50%
+4.38%
-7.43%
+4.01%
-8.22%
-12.71%
+23.30%
-27.06%
+1.89%
+13.21%
-0.76%
2017
-1.07%
+2.56%
-8.65%
+7.36%
+24.98%
-10.66%
+7.46%
-5.14%
+13.17%
-3.95%
-5.70%
+3.19%
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