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Election
63.26%
2010
74.20%
Probability %
Average return %
-1.49%
-3.17%
-3.03%
+2.34%
+5.80%
+5.03%
+8.00%
+3.70%
-2.95%
-2.69%
+3.95%
+2.78%
2026
-7.60%
-13.14%
-8.89%
-0.14%
-3.83%
-13.93%
+19.43%
-9.37%
-5.19%
--
2025
+15.75%
-15.12%
-5.09%
+2.65%
+15.79%
+1.14%
-4.32%
-4.72%
-0.65%
+4.51%
-6.01%
-6.14%
2024
-5.96%
-4.29%
+10.40%
+1.07%
-0.51%
+22.50%
+6.16%
-3.21%
-12.05%
+4.21%
+7.86%
-0.98%
2023
+8.12%
+26.05%
-5.49%
+1.42%
+32.85%
+4.68%
+28.54%
+5.94%
-1.81%
-5.29%
+9.88%
+13.41%
2022
-20.33%
-16.64%
+5.95%
-11.95%
-5.35%
-11.02%
-9.02%
-6.73%
-8.34%
+5.55%
-0.22%
-4.44%
2021
-0.70%
+25.24%
-7.21%
-3.52%
+8.13%
+8.94%
+33.58%
+8.27%
+6.11%
-3.38%
-3.27%
+16.80%
2020
-1.95%
-20.18%
-35.60%
-3.64%
+2.42%
+42.60%
+29.15%
+7.72%
+11.67%
-7.56%
+28.03%
+4.26%
2019
-3.23%
-10.22%
+14.08%
+1.98%
+6.54%
+3.40%
-18.51%
+4.41%
-0.30%
-18.65%
+4.60%
-6.43%
2018
+7.06%
-6.31%
+0.90%
+42.05%
+1.86%
-1.92%
+35.37%
-15.55%
-9.22%
-13.29%
+4.38%
2017
-6.03%
+2.92%
+0.69%
-6.47%
+0.08%
-6.05%
-1.63%
-0.73%
-5.62%
+5.58%
+7.98%
+4.19%
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