Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation - ACRE - Seasonality

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Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation - ACRE - Seasonality

Seasonality Charts

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Correlation

Midterm

61.60%

2022

71.21%

Year	Jan	Feb	Mar	Apr	May	Jun	Jul	Aug	Sep	Oct	Nov	Dec
Probability %	50%	70%	80%	50%	50%	60%	70%	60%	78%	56%	78%	67%
Average return %	+2.23%	-2.72%	-8.07%	+0.07%	+1.87%	+0.31%	+2.65%	+1.67%	-5.41%	+1.37%	+6.72%	-5.40%
2026	+9.00%	-3.65%	-4.38%	+8.96%	-5.54%	-8.91%	-5.33%	+7.28%	-4.16%	--	--	--
2025	-3.90%	-13.60%	-5.32%	-12.10%	+13.27%	+3.47%	-6.29%	+5.59%	-4.45%	-1.11%	+18.83%	-9.81%
2024	-8.20%	-20.72%	-1.19%	-8.86%	+2.50%	-4.45%	+16.24%	-8.67%	-0.85%	-9.29%	+13.70%	-18.42%
2023	+19.34%	-7.90%	-19.63%	-5.28%	+6.74%	+10.45%	+5.02%	-2.91%	-8.02%	-3.68%	+9.60%	+3.08%
2022	+1.03%	-0.27%	+5.94%	-2.90%	-2.46%	-16.80%	+12.02%	-3.72%	-20.77%	+18.09%	+0.97%	-17.42%
2021	-4.95%	+22.00%	-0.65%	+7.58%	+2.78%	-3.16%	+2.65%	+4.64%	-4.44%	+3.58%	-5.76%	-1.22%
2020	+3.16%	-6.61%	-54.19%	+10.87%	-3.87%	+22.42%	+0.11%	+9.09%	-8.23%	+1.86%	+19.66%	+6.91%
2019	+10.43%	+5.97%	-0.46%	+0.07%	-3.42%	+1.23%	+2.09%	-1.19%	+1.60%	+1.77%	+0.90%	+1.28%
2018	-1.78%	-2.76%	+0.24%	-0.97%	+13.00%	-0.07%	+2.24%	+3.54%	-4.45%	+3.58%	-1.31%	-8.68%
2017	-1.82%	+0.30%	-1.04%	+3.36%	-4.34%	-1.06%	-2.22%	+3.05%	+0.91%	-2.48%	+3.85%	-4.30%

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