AMTD IDEA Group - AMTD - Seasonality

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AMTD IDEA Group - AMTD - Seasonality

Seasonality Charts

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Correlation

Election

85.16%

2021

91.41%

Year	Jan	Feb	Mar	Apr	May	Jun	Jul	Aug	Sep	Oct	Nov	Dec
Probability %	86%	57%	50%	57%	86%	71%	71%	57%	67%	71%	100%	83%
Average return %	-2.10%	-2.53%	-1.42%	+1.48%	-11.93%	-2.81%	+1.10%	-5.68%	-3.23%	-9.94%	-10.39%	-1.19%
2026	-0.47%	+4.08%	-2.94%	+5.05%	-7.21%	-0.02%	-22.15%	+1.04%	-3.15%	--	--	--
2025	-15.83%	+1.98%	+4.85%	-7.41%	+1.00%	-2.57%	+2.64%	+2.97%	+8.65%	+14.16%	-17.05%	-7.98%
2024	-6.67%	+1.19%	+4.12%	+1.13%	-3.91%	-2.91%	-7.78%	-16.23%	+9.30%	-8.51%	-4.65%	-2.44%
2023	-7.22%	-5.99%	0.00%	+10.83%	-13.22%	+4.64%	-4.43%	-19.21%	+0.82%	-36.59%	-23.08%	0.00%
2022	+24.92%	-10.86%	-32.86%	-2.95%	-39.13%	-17.14%	+51.72%	+1.14%	-33.15%	-10.92%	-7.08%	-8.63%
2021	-1.52%	-12.31%	+26.32%	-2.78%	-0.29%	-12.46%	-6.71%	-2.11%	-19.35%	-17.11%	-10.46%	-5.09%
2020	-7.90%	+4.17%	-9.41%	+6.49%	-20.73%	+10.77%	-5.56%	-7.35%	+11.11%	+0.71%	-5.67%	-0.75%
2019	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	0.00%	-11.33%	-4.76%	+16.58%

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