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Election
71.65%
2008
71.26%
Probability %
Average return %
+3.40%
-0.43%
-2.92%
+2.04%
+5.63%
-1.20%
+5.04%
-2.22%
+0.99%
+0.51%
+2.32%
-1.71%
2026
+5.22%
+21.43%
-5.75%
+4.99%
+26.07%
-7.55%
-4.01%
+0.66%
-1.31%
--
2025
+0.35%
-6.68%
-3.76%
-0.94%
+16.60%
+1.18%
+9.92%
+16.20%
+2.81%
-2.27%
+0.23%
+4.64%
2024
-5.44%
-8.17%
+11.60%
-5.67%
+8.82%
-9.59%
+9.52%
-3.51%
+6.52%
-7.33%
+2.05%
-7.37%
2023
+17.49%
+6.35%
-2.33%
-1.99%
-7.91%
+10.34%
+8.09%
-12.37%
-0.93%
-8.60%
-8.70%
+6.41%
2022
-2.70%
-6.48%
-5.13%
-5.32%
+9.48%
-17.25%
+15.26%
-1.98%
-16.71%
+19.51%
+13.27%
2021
+8.65%
+7.18%
+3.03%
+4.78%
+5.59%
-5.36%
+0.89%
-12.86%
+1.25%
+4.29%
-3.96%
+4.12%
2020
-20.96%
-7.82%
-22.88%
+17.21%
+12.53%
+9.79%
+3.67%
+10.90%
-4.54%
-9.71%
+11.05%
-0.53%
2019
+17.74%
-0.72%
-5.40%
+8.73%
-15.05%
+18.33%
-9.96%
-13.68%
+12.40%
+13.64%
+0.90%
+3.16%
2018
+10.12%
-12.77%
+2.34%
-2.56%
-0.33%
-11.54%
+6.64%
-4.89%
-2.26%
-7.87%
+0.40%
-12.21%
2017
+3.52%
+3.34%
+1.17%
+0.54%
-0.35%
+10.33%
-0.71%
+10.39%
+2.91%
-8.25%
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