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Election
89.73%
1997
88.78%
Probability %
Average return %
-0.48%
-1.04%
+0.79%
+1.54%
-3.53%
+6.99%
-1.83%
+3.08%
+0.30%
-0.25%
+2.89%
+1.44%
2026
-3.56%
-0.83%
-7.34%
+7.72%
-2.70%
+7.85%
-3.19%
+20.26%
-5.87%
--
2025
+3.89%
+2.25%
-7.00%
-2.63%
-6.56%
+1.83%
-9.55%
+13.27%
-1.29%
+1.21%
+3.23%
+0.63%
2024
-7.89%
-3.54%
-19.47%
-1.59%
-2.16%
-4.85%
+13.31%
+7.97%
+3.78%
+1.55%
+6.37%
-2.45%
2023
+16.37%
-14.68%
+51.45%
+8.01%
+9.41%
+12.25%
-13.35%
+11.45%
-12.79%
-2.03%
+22.19%
+17.89%
2022
+1.60%
+1.31%
-1.95%
+3.17%
+5.13%
-4.88%
-7.05%
-16.14%
-5.59%
+4.36%
+5.68%
-12.16%
2021
+2.98%
+23.52%
+13.30%
-1.50%
-7.82%
-6.20%
+16.54%
-5.68%
-10.03%
-3.68%
-15.62%
+2.74%
2020
-23.80%
-14.87%
-3.23%
-1.11%
-15.45%
+31.06%
-7.10%
-6.41%
-4.66%
-2.14%
+14.84%
+0.54%
2019
+7.53%
+4.91%
-7.97%
-2.60%
-9.11%
+28.73%
-1.90%
-6.58%
+12.75%
-2.67%
+3.49%
+4.65%
2018
+0.47%
-4.68%
-1.47%
-3.74%
+4.02%
+7.22%
-1.51%
+0.59%
+5.51%
+0.44%
-0.11%
-1.44%
2017
-2.43%
-3.79%
-8.44%
+9.71%
-10.08%
-3.11%
-4.50%
+12.11%
+15.01%
+0.73%
-14.09%
+2.53%
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