Ellington Residential Mortgage REIT - EARN - Seasonality

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Ellington Residential Mortgage REIT - EARN - Seasonality

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Correlation

2017

76.98%

Year	Jan	Feb	Mar	Apr	May	Jun	Jul	Aug	Sep	Oct	Nov	Dec
Probability %	50%	60%	60%	70%	50%	50%	80%	60%	78%	67%	78%	78%
Average return %	+1.20%	-0.84%	-5.67%	+6.65%	-1.21%	-0.73%	+2.66%	-2.03%	-4.01%	-2.90%	+4.65%	-2.64%
2026	+3.61%	-10.44%	-9.41%	+6.55%	+0.42%	-6.75%	-2.26%	+1.16%	-3.20%	--	--	--
2025	-0.91%	-1.37%	-16.38%	+0.92%	+2.93%	+2.31%	+1.74%	-2.39%	-4.55%	-6.61%	+6.48%	-2.77%
2024	-2.28%	-0.67%	+16.13%	-4.34%	+6.81%	-1.56%	+1.01%	-1.42%	+0.87%	-6.30%	+2.91%	-1.63%
2023	+15.31%	-1.90%	-5.93%	+0.96%	-6.92%	+5.10%	+0.97%	-9.34%	-5.91%	-14.98%	+14.96%	+0.99%
2022	+1.44%	-8.54%	+4.67%	-12.98%	-7.06%	-8.46%	+13.79%	-4.94%	-23.64%	+8.43%	+8.67%	-5.64%
2021	-8.28%	+2.42%	+0.49%	+1.06%	-1.37%	-4.07%	-5.44%	+3.41%	-3.04%	+8.78%	-11.86%	-2.90%
2020	-0.83%	+1.21%	-51.33%	+68.30%	+6.17%	+8.76%	+7.28%	+2.81%	-2.29%	-4.23%	+14.77%	+6.89%
2019	+13.98%	+0.86%	+1.19%	-0.67%	-10.07%	+1.22%	+5.58%	-13.82%	+7.66%	+3.13%	+2.48%	-2.60%
2018	-10.22%	-1.94%	+3.40%	+3.74%	+1.67%	-5.71%	+2.75%	+5.54%	-4.48%	-6.47%	+7.39%	-9.79%
2017	+0.15%	+11.97%	+0.48%	+3.00%	-4.70%	+1.88%	+1.16%	-1.35%	-0.75%	-7.85%	-3.96%	-6.30%

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