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Election
88.95%
2002
93.08%
Probability %
Average return %
-2.00%
+5.18%
-4.75%
-6.99%
+2.49%
+6.87%
+0.89%
-4.23%
+3.77%
+1.19%
+6.12%
+2.86%
2026
+7.87%
+11.90%
-6.68%
-6.70%
-4.09%
+4.03%
+0.49%
-8.49%
-7.21%
--
2025
+8.64%
-15.18%
-8.86%
-17.18%
+6.25%
+2.17%
-1.19%
+2.48%
-0.99%
-9.53%
+6.49%
+5.08%
2024
+2.90%
+13.84%
+0.68%
-5.20%
+11.86%
-10.32%
+2.95%
-5.02%
+5.04%
+16.47%
+14.73%
-10.31%
2023
-7.78%
+3.85%
+0.19%
-17.78%
+2.72%
+58.63%
+7.17%
-7.86%
-6.02%
-13.52%
+9.02%
+17.16%
2022
-12.05%
+10.08%
+15.94%
-17.08%
-2.58%
-13.51%
-11.59%
-10.40%
-14.87%
+45.49%
+8.72%
-12.66%
2021
-0.55%
+30.04%
+0.36%
+0.04%
-5.99%
-1.87%
-1.79%
+3.04%
-2.52%
-4.58%
-2.51%
+14.75%
2020
-25.72%
+0.58%
-26.78%
-4.28%
+24.97%
+7.21%
+13.10%
+5.67%
+8.13%
-8.23%
+23.68%
2019
+7.26%
-2.74%
-21.87%
+10.24%
-23.42%
+11.72%
-4.90%
-19.44%
+29.33%
-2.76%
-3.93%
+15.25%
2018
-5.91%
+3.29%
-2.99%
-12.74%
+13.34%
+6.14%
+7.39%
+2.38%
+3.62%
-21.05%
+3.08%
-19.16%
2017
+5.29%
-3.89%
+2.50%
+0.81%
+1.84%
+4.52%
-2.70%
-4.67%
+12.24%
+8.41%
-4.21%
+6.60%
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