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Election
80.66%
2000
81.22%
Probability %
Average return %
+6.57%
+1.23%
-5.62%
+3.45%
+5.97%
+3.10%
+3.64%
+0.24%
+1.62%
-0.87%
+6.87%
-1.12%
2026
+10.59%
+4.65%
-14.73%
+25.44%
-3.50%
+10.85%
-11.65%
+13.02%
-4.28%
--
2025
+6.31%
-4.53%
-1.16%
-4.74%
+0.94%
+5.27%
+12.30%
-6.29%
-0.01%
-2.81%
+1.34%
-1.80%
2024
-4.41%
+22.55%
+2.72%
-10.66%
+3.08%
-5.45%
+12.84%
-8.15%
+5.76%
-10.17%
+34.06%
-15.46%
2023
+14.22%
-10.79%
-12.23%
-11.12%
+10.79%
+27.86%
+3.52%
+0.36%
-5.25%
+0.68%
+16.50%
+30.99%
2022
-21.35%
+2.93%
-13.12%
-6.56%
+71.36%
-12.58%
+15.20%
+4.47%
-5.84%
+8.88%
+9.86%
+1.36%
2021
+10.19%
+9.54%
+10.45%
-0.20%
-3.06%
-2.50%
-9.82%
+4.70%
+1.65%
+7.70%
-0.69%
+8.22%
2020
+2.28%
-16.30%
-27.33%
+29.79%
+2.36%
+10.25%
+23.47%
-4.99%
-10.05%
+9.69%
-2.76%
-2.22%
2019
+52.21%
+12.18%
+3.56%
+6.17%
-26.71%
+17.66%
-3.37%
+6.78%
+20.16%
+1.59%
-0.40%
-4.21%
2018
-1.48%
-6.71%
-2.42%
+9.02%
+14.06%
-21.57%
+0.54%
+1.98%
-11.50%
-24.98%
-14.07%
2017
-2.87%
-1.18%
-1.97%
-2.66%
-9.60%
+1.19%
-6.62%
-9.50%
+19.66%
+1.55%
+3.58%
-12.86%
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