Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. - IVR - Seasonality

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Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. - IVR - Seasonality

Seasonality Charts

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Correlation

Pre-election

89.27%

2011

91.01%

Year	Jan	Feb	Mar	Apr	May	Jun	Jul	Aug	Sep	Oct	Nov	Dec
Probability %	60%	70%	60%	70%	67%	80%	60%	80%	56%	67%	89%	56%
Average return %	+4.51%	-4.03%	-8.48%	-5.16%	-2.01%	+5.41%	-1.13%	-3.82%	-5.10%	-4.75%	+7.73%	-0.31%
2026	+2.14%	-1.86%	-4.15%	+0.62%	-3.20%	+0.38%	-6.20%	-1.35%	-11.76%	--	--	--
2025	+5.09%	+3.90%	-10.24%	-7.10%	+0.68%	+6.23%	-3.70%	+3.58%	-3.32%	-0.40%	+8.90%	+2.56%
2024	-0.56%	+2.50%	+7.20%	-11.67%	+8.65%	+0.86%	-3.09%	-3.41%	+7.07%	-14.06%	+3.47%	-3.59%
2023	+15.40%	-14.70%	-11.49%	-4.33%	-0.09%	+8.21%	+4.71%	-6.33%	-11.02%	-31.77%	+17.28%	+10.61%
2022	-3.60%	-18.66%	+4.59%	-23.68%	+2.30%	-17.53%	+20.57%	-10.23%	-30.14%	+5.50%	+12.13%	-3.05%
2021	+19.53%	-3.71%	+3.08%	-2.74%	-12.82%	+14.71%	-11.79%	-9.30%	+0.96%	-0.32%	-4.46%	-7.33%
2020	+5.05%	-8.06%	-78.79%	-10.85%	-8.88%	+35.02%	-17.91%	-2.28%	-9.67%	-0.37%	+22.96%	+1.81%
2019	+11.19%	-1.12%	-0.75%	+3.29%	-5.70%	+4.74%	+2.23%	-8.80%	+1.86%	+2.81%	+3.18%	+2.52%
2018	-8.92%	-5.36%	+6.57%	-0.92%	0.00%	-2.03%	+4.34%	-2.17%	-2.53%	-4.68%	+3.58%	-7.30%
2017	-0.21%	+6.73%	-0.84%	+5.77%	-1.04%	+3.53%	-0.48%	+2.10%	+0.88%	+0.53%	+2.56%	+0.96%

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