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Election
58.91%
2020
92.07%
Probability %
Average return %
+0.10%
-2.93%
-1.39%
-1.17%
-0.84%
+0.06%
+5.07%
-4.61%
-2.08%
-4.42%
+5.12%
-0.50%
2026
-1.00%
-9.68%
-3.94%
+2.67%
-2.20%
0.00%
-4.23%
-14.23%
-6.80%
--
2025
+0.91%
-1.10%
+5.02%
-13.22%
+22.32%
+1.17%
+22.43%
+1.23%
+3.78%
-12.40%
-6.46%
-6.69%
2024
-5.94%
+3.62%
-3.20%
-6.48%
-4.06%
+5.76%
+7.35%
+6.42%
+0.46%
-2.75%
+0.53%
-10.06%
2023
+6.11%
-14.35%
-12.70%
-5.25%
-0.77%
+6.21%
+11.24%
-6.28%
-7.78%
-11.00%
+6.60%
+23.98%
2022
-4.56%
-2.63%
+9.52%
-9.79%
-2.09%
-8.41%
+7.61%
-13.64%
-15.43%
+5.92%
+4.73%
-7.91%
2021
-4.51%
+6.33%
+0.13%
+2.58%
-1.23%
-2.17%
+3.55%
-7.66%
-1.73%
-2.53%
-3.71%
+3.31%
+1.65%
-9.54%
+6.66%
-12.43%
-0.54%
-1.89%
-4.62%
-3.36%
-12.68%
+31.65%
+1.72%
2019
+11.03%
+4.24%
+2.63%
+2.90%
-7.19%
-0.38%
-0.53%
-2.22%
+2.48%
+2.68%
-0.94%
+0.03%
2018
-2.82%
-3.26%
+3.25%
+9.37%
+0.05%
-1.14%
+0.08%
-1.68%
+1.76%
+6.91%
-13.13%
2017
-7.75%
+4.52%
-8.77%
+6.73%
+4.26%
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