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Election
92.59%
2008
95.58%
Probability %
Average return %
-1.33%
+9.29%
+2.28%
-4.75%
-2.65%
+0.89%
-2.29%
-4.89%
-1.74%
-3.30%
+1.77%
+3.17%
2026
-4.37%
+3.33%
-0.60%
-4.45%
+3.02%
-8.67%
-10.43%
-5.97%
-12.22%
--
2025
+6.39%
+0.28%
-8.61%
-3.69%
-8.19%
+5.79%
+8.43%
+8.08%
-4.30%
-18.16%
-6.68%
+8.31%
2024
-23.66%
+15.17%
+10.04%
-14.23%
+5.96%
+16.39%
-10.63%
-14.67%
+6.24%
-11.67%
+18.71%
-18.68%
2023
+2.00%
+11.85%
+10.21%
-13.69%
-21.67%
+1.57%
+4.21%
-9.32%
-12.55%
+4.89%
+1.88%
+37.74%
2022
-8.31%
+21.04%
+2.25%
+2.66%
-5.28%
+8.03%
+3.32%
+4.15%
+18.28%
-4.12%
-3.44%
2021
+2.26%
-0.90%
-0.30%
0.00%
+1.32%
+0.70%
-0.80%
-9.53%
2020
2019
2018
+22.11%
2017
-3.48%
+4.06%
-3.76%
+5.33%
-2.58%
-2.67%
-15.36%
-15.66%
-5.33%
-13.86%
+1.61%
+4.60%
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