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Election
83.11%
2008
79.82%
Probability %
Average return %
+0.76%
+0.26%
-0.97%
+0.14%
-0.03%
-0.16%
+0.43%
+0.33%
-0.57%
+0.10%
+0.20%
-0.58%
2026
+1.10%
+0.54%
-1.46%
+0.94%
-0.81%
+0.16%
-1.48%
-0.83%
-4.07%
--
2025
+0.66%
+0.77%
-1.27%
-1.13%
-0.31%
-0.79%
+0.36%
+1.94%
-0.62%
+1.25%
-0.08%
-1.31%
2024
+1.66%
-0.93%
-0.59%
-0.51%
+0.79%
-0.67%
+1.47%
+0.82%
-1.05%
+3.13%
-0.68%
-1.83%
2023
-0.28%
-0.32%
-0.24%
-0.96%
+1.89%
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
-1.88%
+0.78%
+0.39%
+0.86%
+0.15%
-0.38%
-0.73%
-2.17%
2017
+2.26%
-0.70%
+1.02%
-0.66%
-0.55%
+1.76%
-0.23%
+1.05%
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