Morgan Stanley - MS - Seasonality

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Morgan Stanley - MS - Seasonality

Seasonality Charts

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Correlation

Pre-election

60.79%

2001

72.55%

Year	Jan	Feb	Mar	Apr	May	Jun	Jul	Aug	Sep	Oct	Nov	Dec
Probability %	80%	80%	70%	60%	60%	70%	100%	60%	56%	67%	78%	67%
Average return %	+4.07%	-1.99%	-4.96%	+3.94%	+2.55%	+2.17%	+4.55%	+0.39%	-1.71%	+2.26%	+7.84%	+1.97%
2026	+2.97%	-8.91%	-1.21%	+15.81%	+9.13%	+0.50%	+0.66%	+1.38%	-5.06%	--	--	--
2025	+10.11%	-3.84%	-12.35%	-1.07%	+10.93%	+10.02%	+1.14%	+5.63%	+5.64%	+3.17%	+3.45%	+4.64%
2024	-6.45%	-1.38%	+9.44%	-3.53%	+7.71%	-0.66%	+6.19%	+0.39%	+0.61%	+11.52%	+13.21%	-4.48%
2023	+14.48%	-0.85%	-9.02%	+2.47%	-9.13%	+4.45%	+7.21%	-7.00%	-4.09%	-13.29%	+12.03%	+17.53%
2022	+4.46%	-11.51%	-3.68%	-7.79%	+6.89%	-11.70%	+10.83%	+1.09%	-7.29%	+4.00%	+13.27%	-8.65%
2021	-2.16%	+14.65%	+1.03%	+6.30%	+10.18%	+0.81%	+4.68%	+8.80%	-6.82%	+5.62%	-7.74%	+3.52%
2020	+2.23%	-13.83%	-24.49%	+15.97%	+12.10%	+9.28%	+1.20%	+6.91%	-7.48%	-0.41%	+28.41%	+10.84%
2019	+6.68%	-0.76%	+0.52%	+14.34%	-15.67%	+7.67%	+1.71%	-6.89%	+2.84%	+7.92%	+7.45%	+3.31%
2018	+7.78%	-0.94%	-3.68%	-4.34%	-2.87%	-5.46%	+6.67%	-3.42%	-4.63%	-1.95%	-2.78%	-10.68%
2017	+0.57%	+7.48%	-6.20%	+1.24%	-3.76%	+6.76%	+5.25%	-2.99%	+5.87%	+3.80%	+3.22%	+1.67%

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