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Investor Sentiment
Probability %
Average return %
+1.08%
-1.24%
+1.76%
+1.28%
+3.40%
+9.02%
+4.84%
-1.22%
+2.81%
+2.27%
+0.28%
-3.63%
2026
-15.56%
-11.65%
+1.18%
+9.71%
+18.96%
--
2025
+2.05%
-2.35%
-15.81%
+0.65%
+17.63%
+32.08%
+16.07%
-10.89%
+24.37%
-6.62%
-23.10%
-3.49%
2024
+5.95%
-0.02%
+12.47%
-9.44%
+3.02%
+20.49%
+1.32%
+20.60%
-1.50%
+10.13%
-9.85%
2023
+8.22%
-1.20%
+6.32%
+1.94%
+11.85%
+12.41%
-1.56%
+2.70%
-12.02%
-2.38%
+12.39%
-9.28%
2022
-6.94%
-6.39%
+8.90%
-11.28%
-2.02%
-2.85%
+11.41%
-4.74%
-17.64%
+27.84%
+6.35%
-1.55%
2021
-6.59%
+6.75%
+8.77%
+8.01%
+3.89%
-1.14%
+11.95%
+2.28%
-2.24%
+10.11%
-5.42%
-3.89%
2020
-1.00%
-5.70%
-2.28%
+9.60%
+1.51%
+2.79%
+0.33%
+3.19%
+4.33%
-6.01%
+2.87%
+12.08%
2019
+11.25%
+3.78%
+3.03%
-8.55%
+12.59%
-1.18%
-7.53%
+5.70%
-0.98%
-5.63%
2018
+9.12%
-1.78%
-9.71%
-0.17%
+2.30%
-5.69%
+1.89%
+6.13%
-5.28%
-0.16%
-7.40%
2017
+4.32%
+6.18%
+4.74%
+0.78%
+0.96%
+10.46%
-0.42%
+0.80%
-3.93%
+5.27%
-3.61%
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Disclaimer
Pre-election
79.63%
2008
82.86%
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