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Election
59.86%
2008
70.45%
Probability %
Average return %
+0.52%
-1.90%
-13.36%
+0.07%
+1.99%
+0.96%
+6.97%
+1.81%
+0.06%
+6.86%
+8.16%
+1.14%
2026
+1.95%
-14.67%
-74.10%
+13.91%
-10.08%
-7.74%
+4.78%
-0.98%
-3.60%
--
2025
+5.73%
-8.68%
-14.49%
-2.64%
+4.28%
+10.53%
+13.45%
+5.86%
+3.95%
-7.99%
+5.21%
+1.13%
2024
-0.79%
+8.52%
+5.43%
-1.36%
+8.17%
+8.68%
+18.73%
-0.21%
+4.07%
-0.06%
+20.92%
-12.55%
2023
+9.15%
+6.26%
-8.20%
-2.29%
-5.96%
+1.48%
+13.23%
+1.79%
-2.46%
-3.76%
+10.64%
+13.02%
2022
-13.61%
-4.03%
-11.32%
-12.40%
+14.62%
-13.98%
+11.33%
-9.22%
-8.58%
+22.18%
+12.26%
-9.38%
2021
-9.48%
+16.41%
+3.13%
+5.78%
+9.89%
+1.65%
-5.30%
+16.49%
-3.12%
+18.94%
+0.64%
+7.70%
2020
+3.11%
-14.98%
-27.84%
+6.60%
+10.63%
-0.80%
+4.65%
+21.87%
-3.25%
+14.32%
+10.45%
+9.47%
2019
+4.85%
+1.35%
+4.10%
+10.67%
-12.13%
+4.87%
+4.08%
-5.87%
+3.74%
+4.05%
+2.98%
-1.16%
2018
+7.01%
-9.53%
-0.54%
-15.65%
+6.78%
+2.74%
+0.65%
-0.45%
-0.84%
-9.13%
+2.87%
-7.75%
2017
-2.76%
+0.35%
-9.75%
-1.96%
-6.31%
+2.22%
+4.09%
-11.14%
+7.03%
+23.17%
+7.46%
+9.80%
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