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Election
79.55%
2020
86.78%
Probability %
Average return %
+1.90%
-0.43%
-2.60%
-1.96%
+1.52%
+0.85%
+1.42%
-1.56%
-2.63%
-2.77%
+4.78%
-1.51%
2026
+4.05%
+7.25%
-5.70%
+1.33%
+1.18%
+0.32%
+1.03%
-2.94%
-3.62%
--
2025
+3.98%
+0.70%
-5.33%
-4.02%
+1.74%
-2.26%
-2.04%
-0.36%
+5.10%
+0.62%
+0.27%
-2.98%
2024
+4.46%
+1.13%
+0.06%
-4.41%
+1.95%
+1.40%
+0.94%
-1.12%
+2.83%
-2.69%
-6.11%
2023
+10.09%
-7.06%
+0.12%
+0.54%
-7.07%
+4.60%
+1.65%
-3.91%
-10.19%
-4.81%
+11.63%
-0.20%
2022
-8.83%
-3.64%
-5.31%
-8.63%
+3.78%
-0.51%
+3.66%
-5.13%
-9.36%
-5.90%
+18.12%
-5.71%
2021
+1.16%
-2.44%
+3.68%
+1.64%
+2.60%
+1.09%
-0.72%
-1.32%
-5.06%
+3.28%
-1.63%
+0.57%
-2.10%
-9.90%
-2.53%
+5.05%
+2.96%
-1.41%
-2.95%
-1.27%
+4.96%
+1.51%
2019
-0.30%
+2.71%
+1.56%
+0.38%
+2.92%
-0.79%
+3.61%
+3.12%
-2.50%
-0.27%
-1.58%
+3.94%
2018
+0.60%
-0.89%
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